Five Year Performance Review 2023
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Five-Year Performance Review 2023
A comprehensive review of structured product performance covering all intermediary distributed products that matured in 2018-2022
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YOUR STRUCTURED PRODUCT PROVIDER SINCE 2002
WWW.IDAD.CO.UK FOR PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS AND ELIGIBLE COUNTERPARTIES AS DEFINED BY THE FCA ONLY. IDAD LIMITED IS AUTHORISED AND REGULATED BY THE FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY FCA FRN 740499. IDAD IS A LIMITED LIABILITY COMPANY REGISTERED IN ENGLAND AND WALES NUMBER 4521366. IDAD LTD DOES NOT OFFER INVESTMENT ADVICE NOR MAKE ANY RECOMMENDATION REGARDING ANY INVESTMENTS.
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Welcome to our 2023 review, which provides a thorough overview of the retail structured products sector covering the maturities that occurred in 2022 and the preceding four years. We are happy to reflect on yet another positive year for the retail sector, with the overwhelming majority of investors with maturing structures being rewarded; over 98% of plans maturing in 2022 did so achieving a positive outcome for investors. Experienced advisers will know that attempting to time the market or predict the extent of short-term direction is a futile exercise. Understanding that the majority of market movements are just noise, we believe that the cap in returns on most structured products are more than an acceptable level for most and since the terms are defined at the outset, they are highly unlikely to disappoint. The reward for time in the market outweighs the headaches of attempting to time the market, especially if you get it wrong. Having weathered the impact of the pandemic collapse and the socioeconomic impacts that followed, equity markets put in a strong shift in 2021, returning to pre-pandemic highs. Many expected 2022 to be somewhat calmer, what we actually witnessed was an onslaught of volatility. Over the course of 2022 the FTSE 100 only fell 0.71% with an average closing level of 7,357, however this does not paint a proper picture of the true instability faced. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the FTSE 100 tumbled below the 7,000 mark, yet a month later it was just shy of 7,700. This yo-yo movement endured throughout 2022, causing headaches for investors searching for some sort of direction. The dominant shape of retail structured products in the UK market are FTSE 100 linked autocall / kick-out contracts. Typically, these are designed to mature on the first relevant anniversary that the FTSE 100 Index is above a specified reference level – generally the level recorded at outset or an annual reducing percentage of it.
The chart below shows the FTSE 100 over the period 2018 to 2022, the distribution of FTSE 100 Index linked capital-at-risk autocall maturities and corresponding annualised gains. The average annualised return of these being 7.06% over an average term of just over two and a half years. Despite the significant volatility over the years, it was not extreme enough to lead to any prolonged gap in maturities, other than during the pandemic, when any resulting missed maturities were simply deferred to a subsequent year with a higher potential gain.
FTSE 100 linked Capital at Risk Autocall Maturities 2018-2022
8,000 7,750 7,500 7,250 7,000 6,750 6,500 6,250 6,000 5,750 5,500 5,250 5,000 4,750
16%
14.5%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
FTSE 100
4.76%
4%
FTSE 100 2020
2018 2021
2019 2022
Average Annualised Return (%)
2%
0%
01/01/2018
01/01/2019
01/01/2020
01/01/2021
01/01/2022
01/01/2023
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2022 witnessed an uplift in both performance and issuance on the previous year. 634 plans matured throughout 2022, a 20% increase on the prior year and the largest haul in maturities in the last five years. Better yet, 624 matured with positive gains for investors whilst the remaining 10 were deposit-based plans which did not expose capital to risk of loss and returned the original investment – no plan realised a capital loss for investors in 2022. In comparison to the last five years, the headline numbers for 2022 are far better than the average since 2018. 2022 outperformed the five year average in terms of the number of products producing positive returns, with few returning capital only and not one realising a loss. The average annualised return distribution also provided better results with a tighter spread compared to the previous four years individually and the five year average as a whole - see below.
Like any investment, structured products do not guarantee a positive return and beyond deposits even the most vanilla structured investments could give rise to losses in very adverse circumstances. We remain outspoken about the fact that sensibly constructed, longer maximum duration, single index linked products are proven to give favourable returns and will not disappoint other than in very extreme circumstances. All of us here at Lowes and StructuredProductReview.com hope that you find the analysis this review provides informative. If you would like to discuss any aspect of this review or structured products generally, please do not hesitate to get in touch.
All Maturities - Average Annualised Returns (%)
All Maturities 2018-22
10.00%
700
6
8.00%
600
5
6.00%
500
4
4.00%
400
3
2.00%
300
2
No. of Plans
0.00%
200
Average Term (years)
1
-2.00%
100
-4.00% Average Annualised Return (%)
0
0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
All Products
Lower Quartile
Upper Quartile
No. of Positive Returns
No. Realising a Loss
No. Returning Capital Only
Average Term
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Redefining structured products and structured deposits for professional advisers and their clients
Tempo Structured Products (‘Tempo’) was established over the course of 2016-2018, by a highly experienced team, with substantial investment of time, resources and capital by the Alpha Real Capital family of companies. Our aim is to ‘redefine structured products and structured deposits’ for professional advisers and their clients. Our approach to this is straightforward, focusing on ‘doing the right things - and doing simple well’ . This includes: a client-centric, best practice approach to governance and compliance; putting savers and investors first; a bar-raising level and calibre of collateral materials, input and support for professional advisers; and a commitment to ‘deliberately defensive’ products.
Our aim is to present a high calibre structured product provider, a carefully considered approach to structured products and structured deposits and a level of support and service which professional advisers and their clients can be genuinely confident in. Our entire emphasis is on working closely with professional advisers to strengthen their knowledge and understanding of the value that can be gained from client-centric, best practice use of structured products and structured deposits. It’s time to rethink what you think you know about structured products and structured deposits.
To find out more about Tempo, our structured product and structured deposit plans, the support that we provide for professional advisers, or to discuss any aspect of structured products and /or structured deposits: Adviser support line: +44 (0)20 7391 4551 Email us: info@tempo-sp.com Visit our website: www.tempo-sp.com
03-5386-0623
For Professional Advisers. Capital is at risk. Tempo Structured Products is an appointed representative of TIME Investments, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA No 534723). Tempo Structured Products and TIME Investments are part of the Alpha Real Capital family of companies (‘Alpha’) , which benefit from materially common ultimate beneficial ownership.
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Headline Data
Structured Products Maturities Number of product maturities
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Average
385 362
334 315
235 163
529 483
634 624
423 389
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
23
15
56 16
40
10
29
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
0
4
6
0
5
3.77
3.81
4.78
3.39
3.24
3.63
Average Annualised Returns All products
6.35% 5.73% 3.52% 6.20% 6.45% 5.93% 9.27% 8.95% 8.59% 9.34% 8.97% 9.07% 2.91% 1.81% -3.09% 2.56% 3.99% 2.31%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
Key Takeaways g 634 plans matured in 2022, a 20% increase from 2021 and largest maturity haul in the last five years. g No maturing plan in 2022 realised a capital loss for investors, the first time since 2018. g 624 of the 634 2022 maturities generated positive returns for investors, with the remaining 10 being deposit-based plans which did not expose capital to risk of loss and returned the original investment. g The 634 maturities gave an average annualised return of 6.45% with upper and lower quartiles of 8.97% and 3.99% respectively. Resultantly giving a tighter spread when compared with the five year average annualised return of 5.93% with upper and lower quartiles of 9.07% and 2.31% respectively. g 2022 represented a more successful year in comparison to the five-year average: g 98.42% of maturing plans in 2022 generated positive returns, outperforming the five year average of 91.96%. g Only 1.58% of maturities returned capital only compared to a five-year average of 6.86%.
g The reoccurring theme from the last five years, is that all capital at risk autocalls linked to the FTSE 100 & CSDI only*, maturing with positive returns for investors. Average annualised return for FTSE only autocalls in 2022 was 7.06% over an average duration of 2.54 years, with upper and lower quartiles of 9.28% and 5.42% respectively. g The 554-maturing capital at risk plans collectively produced an annualised return of 6.89% over an average duration of 3.04 years, beating the five-year average by 0.21%. g The FTSE 100 continued to be the most prevalent underlying measurement utilised in isolation, making up over three-quarters of maturities in 2022 and outstripping the five year average by almost 200 maturities. g 417 of capital at risk maturities linked to the FTSE 100 produced annualised return of 6.66% over an average duration of three years, underperforming the year before by 0.35% and below the five-year average by 0.17%. the upper quartile returned 8.96% per year whereas the lower quartile returned 4.78% per year. g No maturing FTSE 100 only linked capital at risk autocall plan has failed to mature with a gain for investors in the UK retail space since 2013.
Notes Lowes’ database is maintained with details of all structured products launched in the UK that are promoted through Independent Financial Advisers and other wealth managers. It does not include private placement trades or, products distributed solely through closed or, restricted channels. 5 year averages are calculated from all products over a 5 year period. Please note that 5 year averages for ‘Number of’ have been rounded to the nearest whole number and therefore the constituent parts may not equal the sum of maturities. Where 5 year average figures are quoted for duration and annualised returns, they are calculated using weighted average values. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Investments of this nature carry risks to capital.
*The FTSE CSDI measures the performance of the same 100 shares in the same weightings as the FTSE 100 and the two are over 99% correlated - we have therefore grouped the two underlyings for the purpose of this review and refer to them collectively as FTSE.
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Arcus Partners – A new name with familiar faces
Arcus Partners designs and distributes defined return products to the retail market through our team of highly experienced professionals. We offer a fully digital service through our online portal, Arcus for Advisers , bringing value-driven capital at risk and capital protected structured products to the UK IFA market. The team’s adviser relationships span over many years, with an understanding of the investment challenges facing IFAs and their clients. Our objective is to listen to advisers and, utilising our extensive knowledge and expertise, provide solutions that are carefully tailored for their clients. The Arcus online portal provides a foundation where advisers can find a comprehensive range of structured product information and solutions. Through our fully digital process, IFAs can onboard and select products to be offered to their clients in a user-friendly, efficient environment. Investec’s decision to exit the UK structured product market led to the birth of Arcus for Advisers. Our platform is based on the same technology as the “Investec for Advisers” online platform, designed
by members of the Arcus team for Investec’s structured product business. Arcus Partners (AR) Ltd acts as an appointed representative of Dura Capital Ltd. INVESTEC MATURITIES
IFAs can now access their full back book of live Investec products, including all previous paper applications, via, Investec for Advisers. We have a special arrangement with Investec Structured Products which allows IFAs to rollover their clients’ maturing plans, into our Arcus range. All paper-free and with minimal fuss. To utilise this rollover process, your firm must be registered on the Arcus for Advisers portal.
Sales, product and general enquiries: Telephone: 0204 582 2798 Email: salessupport@arcus.partners Web: arcusforadvisers.com Portal: portal.arcusforadvisers.com Investec Transfers: investecforadvisers.com
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Reverse Convertible Note/ Fixed Income plans are specific type of structured investment that generate unconditional income over a fixed term. Capital is still placed at risk, albeit with a degree of downside protection through the incorporation of a capital protection barrier. To compensate for the risk of loss, fixed income plans pay interest that is greater than conventional debt from the same issuer, maturity and seniority – potentially making them attractive for income seeking investors. The main risks stemming from Fixed Income Plans are first of all counterparty risk, in the event that the issuer becomes insolvent or defaults, a catastrophic loss could result. Then there is market risk, observed at the end of the term when falls in the underlying over the term could lead to losses in the event the market drops below the protection level. Twenty pure fixed income plans were issued in 2022 (by strike date), paying either monthly, quarterly or annual income over terms ranging 2-6 years, with the majority utilising 5 year terms. The Bank of England Base Rate commenced 2022 at 0.25% and consistently rose to 3.5% in December 2022, whilst at the time of writing we are at 4.25% and unsure of how much further we have to go. The chart opposite shows the improvement in annual income terms seen as the Base Rate rose throughout the year. This may well be a continued theme for 2023, if a sustained base rate persists with no rate cuts in sight, fixed income structured plans could become an important component of portfolios. Reverse Convertibles 2022 – Capital at Risk Fixed Income plans
Capital at Risk Fixed Income Plan Annual Return vs UK Base Rate
10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0%
4%
9%
3%
2%
5%
Bank Rate
1%
0%
Plan Referenced Annual Return
01/01/2022
02/01/2022
03/01/2022
04/01/2022
05/01/2022
06/01/2022
07/01/2022
08/01/2022
09/01/2022
10/01/2022
12/01/2022
01/01/2023
BoE Base Rate
Capital at Risk Fixed Income Annual Return
Deposit Plan Annual Return
We can see that capital at risk fixed income terms have clearly improved over the last year, with one stock linked plan paying just shy of 9% per year in exchange for increased risk of capital loss at the end of term. Given the magnitude and speed of rate hikes, deposit-based plans towards the latter end of the year emerged in competition with the capital at risk fixed income plans. Whilst the vast majority of deposit-based plans issued are autocall products, two fixed income deposit plans were released in November, one paying 5.5% per year! One important factor to note is the rise in deposit-based plans, the effect of rising interest rates has had a clear impact on annual returns offered by structured deposits. Given the significantly lower level of risk than a capital at risk plan, thanks
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The 10:10 Plan It may have been staring you in the face... Developed in co-operation with Lowes, drawing on decades of experience to be amongst the best propositions available on the market.
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CAPITAL AT RISK.
Mariana UFP LLP is registered in the UK (No: OC363748). Mariana UFP LLP is authorised and regulated by the FCA (No: 551170). Lowes Structured Investment Centre is a trading style of Lowes Financial Management Limited. Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (No: 114650)
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Analysis and Annualised Performance 2018 - 2022
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Analysis and Annualised Performance 2018 - 2022 (All Products) By Product Type Capital at Risk
Deposits and Capital Protected
Structured Product Maturities
2022 2021
2020 2019 2018 Average
2022 2021
2020 2019 2018 Average
All products Number of product maturities
554 554
80 70 10
459 444
173 133
243 236
270 268
340 327
70 39 31
62 30 32
91 79 12
115 94
84 62
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
0 0
9 6
24 16
3 4
2 0
8 5
21
21
0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
0
0
0
0
0
3.04
4.63
3.19
4.53
3.32
2.96
3.26
4.69
5.49
5.13
5.67
5.16
Average annualised return All products
6.89% 9.15% 4.98%
3.41% 4.99% 1.20%
6.82% 4.22% 6.74% 7.55% 6.68% 9.57% 9.22% 9.38% 9.66% 9.38% 4.23% -4.01% 3.81% 5.62% 3.80%
2.13% 1.55% 3.05% 3.53% 2.87% 4.87% 4.01% 5.07% 5.63% 5.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.55% 0.52% 0.49%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
Capital at Risk Plans 2018-22
Deposits and Capital Protected Plans 2018-22 140 120 100
600 500 400 300 200 100 0
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
80 60 40 20 0
Positive Returns Capital Only Lost Capital Average Term
Positive Return Capital Only Average Term
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022 2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
-2% -4% -6% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns % 2022 2021
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2020
2019
2018
Average
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Analysis and Annualised Performance 2018 - 2022 (FTSE Only)*
By Product Type
Capital at Risk
Deposits and Capital Protected
Structured Product Maturities
2022 2021
2020 2019 2018 Average
2022 2021
2020 2019 2018 Average
FTSE Only Number of product maturities
417 417
69 65
273 272
86 77
160 160
192 192
226 224
55 35 20
32 17 15
60 60
68 68
57 49
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
0 0
4 0
1
9 0
0 0
0 0 3
2 0
0 0
0 0
8 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
0
0
0
3.01
4.61
2.88
4.24
3.36
3.12
4.48
5.35
4.87
5.58
4.96
Average annualised return All products
6.66% 8.96% 4.78%
3.75% 4.92% 2.39%
7.01% 5.68% 6.81% 7.45% 6.83% 9.57% 8.48% 8.99% 9.52% 9.17% 5.02% 2.43% 5.03% 5.70% 4.85%
2.58% 1.82% 3.81% 4.57% 3.51% 5.10% 4.17% 5.19% 5.77% 5.13% 0.00% 0.00% 2.30% 3.42% 1.89%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
All FTSE Only Capital at Risk Plans 2018-22
All FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Plans 2018-22
450 400 350 300 250 150 100 50 0
4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10%
6%
8%
4%
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
2%
0% Average Annualised Returns %
0%
Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
*The FTSE CSDI measures the performance of the same 100 shares in the same weightings as the FTSE 100 and the two are over 99% correlated - we have therefore grouped the two underlyings for the purpose of this review and refer to them collectively as FTSE.
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Analysis and Annualised Performance 2018 - 2022 (Non-FTSE Only) By Product Type Capital at Risk
Deposits and Capital Protected
Structured Product Maturities
2022 2021
2020 2019 2018 Average
2022 2021
2020 2019 2018 Average
Non-FTSE Only Number of product maturities
137 137
11
186 172
87 56 15 16
83 76
78 76
114 103
15
30
31 19 12
47 26 21
27 13 13
5 6 0
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
4
13 17
0 0
8 6
3 4
2 0
6 5
11
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
0
0
0
0
0
3.14
4.73
3.65
4.82
3.24
2.85
3.54
5.47
5.64
5.65
5.8
5.60
Average annualised return All products
7.60% 9.35% 6.17%
1.30% 4.25% 0.00%
6.54% 2.78% 6.59% 7.82% 6.40% 9.48% 9.85% 10.04% 9.96% 9.65% 3.14% -8.29% 1.69% 5.52% 2.24%
0.50% 1.27% 1.58% 2.03% 1.66% 1.88% 3.70% 4.22% 4.94% 4.46% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
All Non-FTSE Only Capital at Risk Plans 2018-22
All Non-FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Plans 2018-22
200 180 160 140 120 100
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
80 60 40 20 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
5 0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
6%
4%
-2% -4% -6% -8% -10% Average Annualised Returns %
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
0%
Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
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Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Autocall/Kick-Out Products
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Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Autocall/Kick-Out Products (All Products) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
All products Number of product maturities
433 433
22 22
395 386
87 67 13
158 152
187 185
252 245
5 4
10
19 15
12
14 10
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
1
8 4 0
0 0
0 0
8
3 3
2 0
5 2
1
9 0
4 0
4 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
1
7
0
2.73
3.87
2.9
3.18
2.35
2.18
2.69
3.60
5.71
3.63
3.67
4.02
Average annualised return All products
7.22% 9.40% 5.56%
4.17% 5.59% 3.04%
7.07% 4.47% 7.16% 7.88% 7.07% 9.69% 9.84% 9.90% 9.72% 9.63% 4.88% -5.17% 4.00% 6.18% 4.50%
3.99% 0.29% 2.94% 2.77% 3.00% 5.67% 0.97% 4.12% 4.38% 4.29% 0.00% 0.00% 0.54% 0.00% 1.13%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
Capital at Risk Autocall Plans 2018-22
Deposits and Capital Protected Autocall Plans 2018-22
500 450 400 350 300 250 150 100 50 0 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0
25
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
20
15
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
10
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
5
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
-2% -4% -6% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
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Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Autocall/Kick-Out Products (FTSE Only)* By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
FTSE Only Number of product maturities
307 307
20 20
227 227
40 40
97 97
128 128
160 160
4 4 0 0
1 1
15 15
8 8 0 0
10 10
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
2.54
3.91
2.47
2.33
2.15
2.15
2.40
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.38
Average annualised return All products
7.06% 9.28% 5.42%
4.05% 5.27% 2.93%
7.23% 7.31% 7.41% 7.71% 7.27% 9.70% 9.59% 9.48% 9.40% 9.46% 5.45% 5.71% 5.71% 6.32% 5.62%
4.99% 2.91% 3.72% 4.16% 4.02% 5.67% 2.91% 4.13% 4.42% 4.70% 4.31% 2.91% 2.97% 3.85% 3.15%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
FTSE Only Capital at Risk Autocall Plans 2018-22
FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Autocall Plans 2018-22
350 300 250 150 100 50 0
2.6 2.55 2.5 2.45 2.4 2.35 2.3 2.25 2.2 2.15 2.1
25
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
20
15
10
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
5
No. of Positive Returns Average Term
No. of Positive Returns Average Term
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10%
6%
8%
4%
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
2%
0% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
*The FTSE CSDI measures the performance of the same 100 shares in the same weightings as the FTSE 100 and the two are over 99% correlated - we have therefore grouped the two underlyings for the purpose of this review and refer to them collectively as FTSE.
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Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Autocall/Kick-Out Products(Non-FTSE Only) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
Non-FTSE Only Number of product maturities
126 126
2 2 0 0
168 159
47 27 13
61 55
59 57
92 85
1
9 0 9 0
5
4 0 4 0
4 0 4 0
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
0
1
0 0
8
3 3
2 0
5 2
1
4 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
1
7
0
3.2
3.50
3.49
3.91
2.66
2.24
3.18
6.01
6.01
6.00
5.00
5.56
Average annualised return All products
7.59% 9.62% 6.14%
5.45% -
- - -
- - -
6.85% 2.06% 6.76% 8.26% 6.73% 9.56% 10.04% 10.64% 10.29% 9.86% 4.16% -10.31% 1.13% 6.15% 3.08%
0.45% 2.25% 0.00%
0.61%
- -
- -
- -
Upper quartile Lower quartile
Non-FTSE Only Capital at Risk Autocall Plans 2018-22
Non-FTSE Deposits and Capital Protected Autocall Plans 2018-22
180 160 140 120 100
4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
80 60 40 20 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8%
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
-10% -12% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
17
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Growth Products
18
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Growth Products (All Products) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
All products Number of product maturities
34 34
46 36 10
21
40 28
24 24
30 30
30 27
53 25 28
44 21 23
51 51
92 76 16
57 42 15
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
20
0 0
1
11
0 0
0 0
2 0
0 0
0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
0
1
0
0
0
0
5.92
4.63
6.01
5.92
5.63
5.71
5.84
4.61
5.35
5.34
5.89
5.27
Average annualised return All products
6.54% 8.63% 4.40%
2.93% 4.76% 0.13%
7.56% 3.98% 6.60% 8.05% 6.31% 9.76% 9.82% 8.51% 10.95% 9.56% 3.70% -2.41% 4.79% 5.50% 2.76%
1.75% 1.38% 3.15% 3.68% 2.75% 4.72% 3.85% 5.09% 5.81% 5.01% 0.00% 0.00% 1.27% 0.73% 0.48%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
Capital at Risk Growth Products 2018-22
Deposits and Capital Protected Growth Products 2018-22
45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10
6.05 6 5.95 5.9 5.85 5.8 5.75 5.7 5.65 5.6
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
6 5 4 3 2 1 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
5 0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
-2% -4% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
19
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Growth Products (FTSE Only) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
FTSE Only Number of product maturities
34 34
37 33
18 17
23 14
20 20
29 29
25 23
41 21 20
23
33 33
52 52
37 29
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
8
0 0
4 0
1
9 0
0 0
0 0
2 0
15
0 0
0 0
8 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
0
0
0
5.92
4.54
6.01
5.9
5.55
5.7
5.82
4.40
5.22
5.31
5.91
5.11
Average annualised return All products
6.54% 8.63% 4.40%
3.55% 4.86% 1.77%
7.23% 3.27% 6.59% 8.05% 6.39% 9.38% 7.39% 8.67% 11.19% 9.11% 3.70% 0.00% 4.68% 5.33% 3.74%
2.08% 0.99% 3.59% 4.71% 3.24% 5.07% 3.53% 5.33% 5.93% 5.12% 0.00% 0.00% 1.83% 3.49% 1.65%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
FTSE Only Capital at Risk Growth Products 2018-22
FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Growth Products 2018-22
40 35 30 25 20 15 10
6.1 6 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5
60 50 40 30 20 10 0
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
5 0
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
12% 10%
6%
8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Average Annualised Returns %
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
20
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Growth Products (Non-FTSE Only) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
Non-FTSE Only Number of product maturities
0
9 3 6 0
3 3 0 0
17 14
4 4 0 0
1 1
5 6
12
21 13
18 18
40 24
20
- - - - - - -
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
4 8 0
12
2
0 0
1
8 0
0 0
16
8 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
1
0
0
5.00
6.01
5.95
6.00
6.00
5.97
5.34
5.48
5.39
5.87
5.56
Average annualised return All products
0.37% 1.64% 0.00%
9.55% 4.94% 6.68% 7.94% 5.89%
0.63% 1.81% 2.35% 2.35% 2.04% 2.18% 3.94% 4.39% 5.14% 4.49% 0.00% 0.00% 0.70% 0.00% 0.14%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
10.49% 11.10% 7.55% - 8.91% -5.17% 5.34% -
10.01% -1.59%
Non-FTSE Only Capital at Risk Growth Products 2018-22
Non-FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Growth Products 2018-22 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10
18 16 14 12 10
6.02 6.01 6 5.99 5.98 5.97 5.96 5.95 5.94
6 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2 5 4.8
8 6 4 2 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
5 0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
12% 10%
6%
8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
-2% -4% -6% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
21
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Income Products
22
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Income Products (All Products) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
All products Number of product maturities
87 87
12 12
43 38
46 38
61
53 53
58 55
12 10
8 8 0 0
21 13
11
13 11
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
60
10
0 0
0 0
0 5
0 8
0
0 0
0 3
2 0
8 0
1
2 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
1
0 6
3.49
6.00
4.46
5.87
4.92
4.14
4.43
5.51
6.01
6.00
5.91
Average annualised return All products
5.43% 7.26% 4.05%
3.87% 4.40% 3.51%
4.14% 3.96% 5.69% 6.11% 5.18% 6.10% 6.81% 7.37% 7.24% 7.04% 0.87% -1.34% 3.68% 5.13% 2.84%
3.05% 4.06% 2.90% 3.08% 3.29% 4.38% 4.47% 5.70% 4.91% 4.92% 0.65% 3.56% 0.00% 0.44% 1.30%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
Capital at Risk Income Plans 2018-22
Deposits and Capital Protected Income Plans 2018-22
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
25
6.1 6 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4
20
15
10
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
5
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% Average Annualised Returns %
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
23
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Income Products (FTSE Only) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
FTSE Only Number of product maturities
76 76
12 12
28 28
23 23
43 43
35 35
41 41
10 10
8 8 0 0
12 12
8 8 0 0 6
10 10
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
3.64
6.00
4.21
5.9
5.05
3.87
4.31
5.40
6.01
6.00
5.88
Average annualised return All products
5.08% 6.39% 3.97%
3.87% 4.40% 3.51%
5.07% 5.25% 5.56% 5.98% 5.35% 5.93% 5.84% 6.73% 6.96% 6.43% 4.39% 4.79% 4.49% 5.00% 4.40%
3.65% 4.06% 4.51% 4.07% 4.04% 4.38% 4.47% 5.72% 5.13% 4.84% 2.84% 3.56% 3.70% 2.96% 3.34%
Upper quartile Lower quartile
FTSE Only Capital at Risk Income Plans 2018-22
FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Income Plans 2018-22
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
14 12 10
6.1 6 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3
8 6 4 2 0
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10%
6%
8%
4%
6%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
4%
2% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
24
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
Analysis and Annualised Performance by Product Shape - Income Products (Non-FTSE Only) By Product Type Capital at Risk Deposits and Capital Protected Structured Product Maturities 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 Average
Non-FTSE Only Number of product maturities
11 11
0
15 10
23 15
18 17
18 18
17 14
2 0 2 0
0
9
3 2
3
- - - -
Number of products producing positive returns Number of products returning capital only
- - - -
1
1
0 0
0 5
0 8
0
0 0
0 3
8 0
1
4 0
Number of products which lost capital Average duration / term (years)
1
0
2.50
4.92
5.85
4.61
4.64
4.73
6.01
6.00
6.00
6.00
Average annualised return All products
7.82% 8.93% 6.84%
0.00%
2.40% 2.67% 5.98% 6.37% 4.77% 6.19% 7.09% 8.02% 7.63% 7.48% -2.88% -5.67% 2.63% 5.45% 0.55%
0.00% -
0.75% 0.44% 0.58%
- -
Upper quartile Lower quartile
- -
-
3.37% - 0.00% -
2.17% 0.00%
-
Non-FTSE Only Capital at Risk Income Plans 2018-22
Non-FTSE Only Deposits and Capital Protected Income Plans 2018-22
25
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
10
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
20
8
15
6
10
4
No. of Positive Returns No. Returning Capital Only Average Term
No. of Positive Returns No. Realising Loss Average Term
No. of Plans
No. of Plans
5
2
Average Term (Years)
Average Term (Years)
0
0
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
6%
4%
2%
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
Lower Quartile All Products Upper Quartile
-2% -4% -6% Average Annualised Returns %
0% Average Annualised Returns %
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Average
25
StructuredProductReview.com
StructuredProductReview. com
About Structured Product Review & Structured Products
StructuredProductReview.com is a dedicated research service conceived, created, developed and maintained to help Professional Advisers engage with the structured products sector and to aid in the identification of providers and products that may be suitable for their clients. The service was conceived and is maintained by Lowes Financial Management (Lowes). For over two decades Lowes has played a significant role in helping to shape the UK retail structured product sector by championing good product development and governance with a focus on investor outcomes. In addition to provider/product information and tools specifically designed to assist in researching and advising on structured products, StructuredProductReview.com aims to provide the deepest and most comprehensive one-stop source of information and education available for the IFA market. It provides access to thousands of historic articles and research pieces and an archive of every intermediary distributed retail structured product issued to the market this century. Lowes expertise in the structured product sector is widely acknowledged. The company has played a significant role in helping to educate the wider adviser community about the sector, whilst helping to shape it for better investor outcomes. This it has done by championing good product design and governance and warning against some of the less desirable, historic sector additions.
Contact Telephone: 0191 287 8716 Email: enquiry@StructuredProductReview.com Web: StructuredProductReview.com
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